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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 November 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 48
  6. 2

The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 152 of 868 under them

← 2012-11-18All recent draws2012-12-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 22 29 48 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

210times
416times
2217times
2922times
48

Prize breakdown · 2012-11-25

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 546k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€219.5K
  • 2+034%€597.4K
  • 0+127%€469.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€445.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.16 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 151 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 May 2010 — its closest relative in 151 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 November 2012): 22 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
4≈ 1.5 by chance
€54,872
  • 4+121≈ 40 by chance€1,900
  • 4+0258≈ 362 by chance€180
  • 3+11,294≈ 1.9k by chance€41.12
  • 3+012,442≈ 17k by chance€13.90
  • 2+120,455≈ 30k by chance€6.50
  • 2+0199,130≈ 272k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1312,859≈ 313k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,294 winners, 33% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+04€54,872
    4+121€1,900
    4+0258€180
    3+11,294€41.12
    3+012,442€13.90
    2+120,455€6.50
    2+0199,130€3.00
    0+1312,859€1.50