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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 March 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 8

Jackpot€14,329,846

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 218 of 868 under them

← 2014-02-23All recent draws2014-03-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 24 38 39 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

920times
1521times
2421times
3819times
39

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 594k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€219.8K
  • 2+034%€608.1K
  • 0+130%€533.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%€444.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

824times

Every number was expected about that many times after 217 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 October 2013 — its closest relative in 217 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 February 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.7 by chance€219,847
  • 4+123≈ 46 by chance€1,666
  • 4+0250≈ 411 by chance€187
  • 3+11,308≈ 2.2k by chance€40.62
  • 3+012,715≈ 20k by chance€13.61
  • 2+121,173≈ 34k by chance€6.28
  • 2+0202,699≈ 309k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1355,446≈ 355k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,308 winners, 40% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€219,847
    4+123€1,666
    4+0250€187
    3+11,308€40.62
    3+012,715€13.61
    2+121,173€6.28
    2+0202,699€3.00
    0+1355,446€1.50