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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 10 August 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 45
  6. 3

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 241 of 868 under them

← 2014-08-03All recent draws2014-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 19 21 45 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

816times
1423times
1912times
2121times
45

Prize breakdown · 2014-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 515k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€164.6K
  • 2+034%€492.6K
  • 0+132%€476K
  • 5 other tiers23%€334.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

324times

Every number was expected about that many times after 240 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 14, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2014 — its closest relative in 240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.5 by chance€164,574
  • 4+133≈ 41 by chance€907
  • 4+0255≈ 367 by chance€137
  • 3+11,408≈ 2.0k by chance€28.34
  • 3+011,286≈ 18k by chance€11.49
  • 2+120,091≈ 31k by chance€4.96
  • 2+0164,191≈ 276k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1317,364≈ 317k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 164,191 winners, 41% fewer than the 276k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€164,574
    4+133€907
    4+0255€137
    3+11,408€28.34
    3+011,286€11.49
    2+120,091€4.96
    2+0164,191€3.00
    0+1317,364€1.50