Number 8

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 868 draws, 5 from 1–54.

82times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.19σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number

10.5average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

49longest completed wait · 54% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 82 times in 868 draws against 80.4 expected, +0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 82 times in 868 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest40 · chance 45.7
2nd smallest35 · chance 29.8
3rd smallest7 · chance 6.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 3 7 26 40 49

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-16	3	2nd	7 8 11 31 35
2026-07-26	29	1st	8 22 38 39 46
2026-01-04	20	2nd	7 8 22 32 45
2025-08-17	5	1st	8 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-10-09	40	2nd	3 8 22 26 45
2022-01-02	4	1st	8 12 31 47 50
2021-12-05	14	1st	8 28 33 46 51
2021-08-29	18	1st	8 19 23 45 46
2021-04-25	9	2nd	4 8 9 33 48
2021-02-21	2	1st	8 16 37 40 46
2021-02-07	1	2nd	6 8 26 37 50
2021-01-31	1	2nd	3 8 26 32 45
2021-01-24	1	1st	8 18 27 50 54
2021-01-17	19	2nd	7 8 10 17 24
2020-09-06	17	1st	8 10 26 40 43
2020-03-01	4	2nd	3 8 10 20 26
2020-02-02	22	1st	8 15 22 38 45
2019-09-01	10	1st	8 17 29 48 49
2019-06-23	7	1st	8 19 22 30 34
2019-05-05	5	1st	8 12 18 20 26
2019-03-31	1	1st	8 12 15 24 33
2019-03-24	22	2nd	1 8 9 16 42
2018-10-21	5	2nd	2 8 12 24 31
2018-09-16	8	2nd	3 8 18 28 49
2018-07-22	4	1st	8 13 28 49 52
2018-06-24	2	2nd	7 8 17 24 49
2018-06-10	4	2nd	5 8 29 35 36
2018-05-13	7	1st	8 12 21 34 47
2018-03-25	14	2nd	3 8 9 20 37
2017-12-17	1	2nd	2 8 20 28 48
2017-12-10	38	3rd	1 3 8 11 49
2017-03-19	1	1st	8 20 34 39 44
2017-03-12	15	1st	8 22 26 29 32
2016-11-27	9	1st	8 17 22 39 48
2016-09-25	1	2nd	4 8 11 19 32
2016-09-18	5	1st	8 13 28 37 44
2016-08-14	1	3rd	4 7 8 16 36
2016-08-07	9	1st	8 9 12 25 33
2016-06-05	6	2nd	3 8 22 23 40
2016-04-24	14	2nd	1 8 29 30 49
2016-01-17	17	2nd	6 8 15 19 22
2015-09-20	15	2nd	7 8 19 21 36
2015-06-07	7	1st	8 16 34 40 50
2015-04-19	33	1st	8 23 27 38 53
2014-08-31	3	1st	8 10 14 36 48
2014-08-10	3	1st	8 14 19 21 45
2014-07-20	3	3rd	3 5 8 14 45
2014-06-29	44	2nd	5 8 12 22 46
2013-08-25	23	2nd	4 8 10 20 51
2013-03-17	6	2nd	2 8 21 24 40
2013-02-03	25	1st	8 16 20 39 47
2012-08-12	9	1st	8 40 41 44 52
2012-06-10	13	3rd	1 2 8 12 28
2012-03-11	49	2nd	4 8 16 21 53
2011-04-03	1	3rd	1 7 8 44 54
2011-03-27	6	1st	8 11 36 44 51
2011-02-13	6	1st	8 20 32 49 52
2011-01-02	4	2nd	1 8 20 28 31
2010-12-05	20	2nd	7 8 11 22 52
2010-07-18	11	2nd	6 8 13 29 52
2010-05-02	11	2nd	4 8 22 36 51
2010-02-14	—	1st	8 25 29 41 49