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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 January 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 12
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 52
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,959,493

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 263 of 868 under them

← 2015-01-04All recent draws2015-01-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 12 19 20 52 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

321times
1226times
1915times
2026times
52

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 520k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€185.8K
  • 2+031%€469.2K
  • 0+133%€497.4K
  • 5 other tiers25%€377.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

326times

Every number was expected about that many times after 262 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 July 2014 — its closest relative in 262 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.6 by chance€185,814
  • 4+124≈ 43 by chance€1,408
  • 4+0202≈ 383 by chance€195
  • 3+11,312≈ 2.0k by chance€34.33
  • 3+09,565≈ 18k by chance€15.31
  • 2+120,829≈ 32k by chance€5.41
  • 2+0156,386≈ 288k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1331,583≈ 332k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 9,565 winners, 48% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€185,814
    4+124€1,408
    4+0202€195
    3+11,312€34.33
    3+09,565€15.31
    2+120,829€5.41
    2+0156,386€3.00
    0+1331,583€1.50