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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 18 January 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 30
  3. 32
  4. 34
  5. 42
  6. 8

Jackpot€6,453,169

The crowdHeld 42% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 264 of 868 under them

← 2015-01-11All recent draws2015-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 30 32 34 42 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd1th
  • low10th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

2228times
3019times
3228times
3423times
42

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.4Mto 447k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+183%€6.9M
  • 2+05.1%€424.7K
  • 0+15.0%€420.1K
  • 5 other tiers7.0%€583.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

829times

Every number was expected about that many times after 263 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (22, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2014 — its closest relative in 263 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,935,305
  • 5+00≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • 4+119≈ 36 by chance€11,974
  • 4+0159≈ 324 by chance€257
  • 3+1908≈ 1.7k by chance€51.40
  • 3+09,257≈ 16k by chance€16.38
  • 2+115,124≈ 27k by chance€7.71
  • 2+0141,583≈ 244k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1280,078≈ 280k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 908 winners, 47% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€6,935,305
    5+00€0.00
    4+119€11,974
    4+0159€257
    3+1908€51.40
    3+09,257€16.38
    2+115,124€7.71
    2+0141,583€3.00
    0+1280,078€1.50