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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 January 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 23
  3. 41
  4. 45
  5. 54
  6. 7

The crowdHeld 59% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 265 of 868 under them

← 2015-01-18All recent draws2015-02-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 23 41 45 54 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

1132times
2330times
4129times
4527times
54

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 548k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€221.5K
  • 2+026%€406.9K
  • 0+137%€573.2K
  • 4 other tiers22%€346.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

728times

Every number was expected about that many times after 264 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 23, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2011 — its closest relative in 264 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 January 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.8 by chance
no winners
  • 4+116≈ 49 by chance€13,846
  • 4+0156≈ 442 by chance€255
  • 3+11,324≈ 2.4k by chance€34.32
  • 3+08,282≈ 21k by chance€17.83
  • 2+120,612≈ 37k by chance€5.51
  • 2+0135,633≈ 332k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1382,141≈ 382k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,282 winners, 61% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+116€13,846
    4+0156€255
    3+11,324€34.32
    3+08,282€17.83
    2+120,612€5.51
    2+0135,633€3.00
    0+1382,141€1.50