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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 March 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 18
  4. 27
  5. 45
  6. 2

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 272 of 868 under them

← 2015-03-08All recent draws2015-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 18 27 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

423times
719times
1821times
2733times
45

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€150.1K
  • 2+039%€530K
  • 0+127%€365.4K
  • 5 other tiers23%€304.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 August 2014 — its closest relative in 271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.1 by chance
€75,049
  • 4+123≈ 31 by chance€1,187
  • 4+0296≈ 282 by chance€108
  • 3+11,159≈ 1.5k by chance€31.40
  • 3+013,038≈ 14k by chance€9.07
  • 2+115,923≈ 24k by chance€5.71
  • 2+0176,683≈ 212k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1243,601≈ 244k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,923 winners, 32% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€75,049
    4+123€1,187
    4+0296€108
    3+11,159€31.40
    3+013,038€9.07
    2+115,923€5.71
    2+0176,683€3.00
    0+1243,601€1.50