Number 18

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 868 draws, 5 from 1–54.

77times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.39σ

29draws waiting · a wait this long: 7% for any number

10.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

43longest completed wait · 73% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 77 times in 868 draws against 80.4 expected, −0.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 29 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 77 times in 868 draws · average wait 10.8 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 29 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest14 · chance 15.5
2nd smallest31 · chance 31.9
3rd smallest26 · chance 22.5
4th smallest5 · chance 6.4
5th smallest1 · chance 0.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 24 40 51 6 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-04-05	10	2nd	6 18 23 39 42
2026-01-25	7	3rd	5 11 18 34 42
2025-12-07	4	3rd	2 6 18 32 42
2025-11-09	18	3rd	1 5

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-11-07	1	2nd	1 18 39 48 53
2021-10-31	16	3rd	4 10 18 34 48
2021-07-11	1	2nd	1 18 19 30 50
2021-07-04	1	2nd	2 18 31 43 54
2021-06-27	11	1st	18 20 24 31 38
2021-04-11	1	5th	5 7 15 16 18
2021-04-04	10	1st	18 25 43 44 52
2021-01-24	9	2nd	8 18 27 50 54
2020-11-22	4	1st	18 24 28 36 45
2020-10-25	25	3rd	6 16 18 31 39
2020-02-23	5	2nd	7 18 20 47 50
2020-01-19	15	2nd	15 18 39 43 54
2019-10-06	8	3rd	3 14 18 37 51
2019-08-11	4	3rd	3 7 18 40 53
2019-07-14	10	2nd	12 18 40 42 51
2019-05-05	11	3rd	8 12 18 20 26
2019-02-17	15	2nd	2 18 40 48 53
2018-11-04	7	2nd	2 18 45 49 51
2018-09-16	41	3rd	3 8 18 28 49
2017-12-03	7	3rd	1 11 18 40 50
2017-10-15	8	1st	18 26 30 33 51
2017-08-20	34	3rd	11 14 18 35 50
2016-12-25	24	2nd	9 18 19 45 53
2016-07-10	9	3rd	6 10 18 26 42
2016-05-08	21	3rd	1 15 18 32 34
2015-12-13	4	1st	18 22 32 33 38
2015-11-15	3	3rd	5 16 18 23 33
2015-10-25	3	2nd	10 18 26 32 34
2015-10-04	18	2nd	9 18 25 39 42
2015-05-31	4	1st	18 19 27 31 54
2015-05-03	7	3rd	4 15 18 29 30
2015-03-15	25	3rd	4 7 18 27 45
2014-09-21	8	2nd	9 18 26 30 31
2014-07-27	17	3rd	6 9 18 27 47
2014-03-30	28	3rd	11 15 18 23 40
2013-09-15	2	4th	3 5 16 18 29
2013-09-01	18	4th	1 2 12 18 39
2013-04-28	18	1st	18 23 27 38 51
2012-12-23	43	2nd	12 18 40 42 54
2012-02-26	1	1st	18 23 37 43 49
2012-02-19	6	1st	18 27 29 38 39
2012-01-08	3	2nd	2 18 19 24 43
2011-12-18	20	2nd	4 18 23 30 49
2011-07-31	5	2nd	17 18 23 51 53
2011-06-26	7	2nd	6 18 20 22 52
2011-05-08	3	1st	18 21 43 48 50
2011-04-17	8	3rd	4 13 18 24 54
2011-02-20	3	2nd	7 18 35 42 51
2011-01-30	3	3rd	2 15 18 35 49
2011-01-09	4	1st	18 26 33 39 46
2010-12-12	3	2nd	12 18 20 23 49
2010-11-21	26	3rd	10 15 18 33 54
2010-05-23	—	3rd	11 12 18 24 46