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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 June 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 25
  5. 48
  6. 1

Jackpot€10,033,724

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 286 of 868 under them

← 2015-06-14All recent draws2015-06-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 21 25 48 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 June 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1024times
1136times
2127times
2520times
48

Prize breakdown · 2015-06-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 427k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€153.9K
  • 2+039%€520.5K
  • 0+126%€338.2K
  • 5 other tiers24%€312.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 May 2015 — its closest relative in 285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 June 2015): 21 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€153,860
  • 4+124≈ 29 by chance€1,166
  • 4+0261≈ 261 by chance€125
  • 3+1996≈ 1.4k by chance€37.45
  • 3+011,780≈ 13k by chance€10.29
  • 2+114,993≈ 22k by chance€6.22
  • 2+0173,514≈ 196k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1225,497≈ 225k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,993 winners, 31% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€153,860
    4+124€1,166
    4+0261€125
    3+1996€37.45
    3+011,780€10.29
    2+114,993€6.22
    2+0173,514€3.00
    0+1225,497€1.50