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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 19 July 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 40
  6. 7

Jackpot€11,933,291

The crowdHeld 51% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 290 of 868 under them

← 2015-07-12All recent draws2015-07-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 25 28 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

1025times
1533times
2521times
2828times
40

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€13.9Mto 580k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+189%€12.4M
  • 2+03.5%€482K
  • 0+14.1%€570.1K
  • 6 other tiers3.5%€489.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

731times

Every number was expected about that many times after 289 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 25, 28, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 May 2014 — its closest relative in 289 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,397,733
  • 5+02≈ 1.8 by chance€80,695
  • 4+140≈ 49 by chance€734
  • 4+0242≈ 440 by chance€141
  • 3+11,719≈ 2.3k by chance€22.76
  • 3+011,192≈ 21k by chance€11.36
  • 2+125,637≈ 37k by chance€3.82
  • 2+0160,683≈ 331k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1380,093≈ 380k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 160,683 winners, 51% fewer than the 331k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€12,397,733
    5+02€80,695
    4+140€734
    4+0242€141
    3+11,719€22.76
    3+011,192€11.36
    2+125,637€3.82
    2+0160,683€3.00
    0+1380,093€1.50