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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 August 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 42
  5. 54
  6. 5

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 60% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 292 of 868 under them

← 2015-07-26All recent draws2015-08-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 21 26 42 54 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

1623times
2128times
2626times
4220times
54

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 522k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€181.5K
  • 2+026%€382.7K
  • 0+137%€550K
  • 5 other tiers25%€368.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

525times

Every number was expected about that many times after 291 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 42, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 September 2013 — its closest relative in 291 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.7 by chance€181,517
  • 4+121≈ 47 by chance€1,572
  • 4+0147≈ 424 by chance€262
  • 3+11,111≈ 2.3k by chance€39.61
  • 3+07,649≈ 20k by chance€18.70
  • 2+119,084≈ 35k by chance€5.76
  • 2+0127,561≈ 319k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1366,674≈ 367k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,649 winners, 62% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€181,517
    4+121€1,572
    4+0147€262
    3+11,111€39.61
    3+07,649€18.70
    2+119,084€5.76
    2+0127,561€3.00
    0+1366,674€1.50