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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 9 August 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 28
  2. 40
  3. 48
  4. 52
  5. 54
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,446,091

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 293 of 868 under them

← 2015-08-02All recent draws2015-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed28 40 48 52 54 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd1th
  • low1th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

2830times
4026times
4831times
5222times
54

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 392k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+015%€196K
  • 2+024%€309.8K
  • 0+131%€404.8K
  • 5 other tiers30%€397.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

418times

Every number was expected about that many times after 292 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (40, 52, 54) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 June 2013 — its closest relative in 292 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2015): 54 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

222

The numbers add up to 222 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€97,993
  • 4+116≈ 35 by chance€2,227
  • 4+0118≈ 312 by chance€352
  • 3+1683≈ 1.7k by chance€69.56
  • 3+05,772≈ 15k by chance€26.75
  • 2+111,964≈ 26k by chance€9.93
  • 2+0103,276≈ 235k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1269,846≈ 270k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 5,772 winners, 61% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€97,993
    4+116€2,227
    4+0118€352
    3+1683€69.56
    3+05,772€26.75
    2+111,964€9.93
    2+0103,276€3.00
    0+1269,846€1.50