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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 October 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 19
  5. 30
  6. 9

Jackpot€9,462,400

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 302 of 868 under them

← 2015-10-04All recent draws2015-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 13 14 19 30 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

324times
1320times
1430times
1921times
30

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 639k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 2+141%€869.7K
  • 2+025%€529.7K
  • 0+119%€398.6K
  • 5 other tiers16%€349.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

936times

Every number was expected about that many times after 301 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 July 2015 — its closest relative in 301 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€72,027
  • 4+133≈ 34 by chance€794
  • 4+0300≈ 307 by chance€102
  • 3+11,275≈ 1.6k by chance€27.39
  • 3+012,699≈ 15k by chance€8.94
  • 2+1182,319≈ 26k by chance€4.77
  • 2+0176,553≈ 231k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1265,704≈ 266k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 182,319 winners, 610% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€72,027
    4+133€794
    4+0300€102
    3+11,275€27.39
    3+012,699€8.94
    2+1182,319€4.77
    2+0176,553€3.00
    0+1265,704€1.50