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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 October 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 39
  5. 42
  6. 7

Jackpot€8,996,617

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 301 of 868 under them

← 2015-09-27All recent draws2015-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 18 25 39 42 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

932times
1824times
2523times
3928times
42

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 562k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€175.8K
  • 2+029%€441.1K
  • 0+137%€570.8K
  • 5 other tiers23%€356.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

733times

Every number was expected about that many times after 300 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 September 2015 — its closest relative in 300 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.8 by chance€175,832
  • 4+131≈ 49 by chance€1,031
  • 4+0219≈ 440 by chance€170
  • 3+11,517≈ 2.3k by chance€28.10
  • 3+09,618≈ 21k by chance€14.40
  • 2+122,715≈ 37k by chance€4.69
  • 2+0147,029≈ 331k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1380,522≈ 381k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 147,029 winners, 56% fewer than the 331k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€175,832
    4+131€1,031
    4+0219€170
    3+11,517€28.10
    3+09,618€14.40
    2+122,715€4.69
    2+0147,029€3.00
    0+1380,522€1.50