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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 18 September 2016

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 28
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 5

Jackpot€15,002,816

The crowdHeld 52% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 351 of 868 under them

← 2016-09-11All recent draws2016-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 28 37 44 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

826times
1326times
2836times
3729times
44

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 604k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 4+113%€222.5K
  • 2+030%€498.2K
  • 0+136%€600.3K
  • 4 other tiers21%€348K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

533times

Every number was expected about that many times after 350 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 37, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 July 2013 — its closest relative in 350 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.9 by chance
no winners
  • 4+140≈ 51 by chance€5,562
  • 4+0222≈ 463 by chance€180
  • 3+11,607≈ 2.5k by chance€28.40
  • 3+010,946≈ 22k by chance€13.55
  • 2+124,446≈ 39k by chance€4.67
  • 2+0166,077≈ 348k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1400,182≈ 400k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 166,077 winners, 52% fewer than the 348k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+140€5,562
    4+0222€180
    3+11,607€28.40
    3+010,946€13.55
    2+124,446€4.67
    2+0166,077€3.00
    0+1400,182€1.50