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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£70,070,416
The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 169 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 168 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 168 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (20, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 November 2012 — its closest relative in 168 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,776 winners, 32% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,219,581 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 701,649 | £5.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 241,746 | £5.70 |
| Match 3 | 82,415 | £9.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44,407 | £11.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 46,777 | £9.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,883 | £36.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,776 | £83.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,034 | £144 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52 | £3,269 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £67,990 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £254,961 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £70,070,416 |