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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£83,087,696
The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 170 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 169 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 169 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 22, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 June 2012 — its closest relative in 169 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈40M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,231,875 winners, 28% more than the 1.7M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,231,875 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,054,576 | £5.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 254,119 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 | 148,376 | £8.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48,628 | £16.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 71,310 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,373 | £51.40 |
| Match 4 | 3,085 | £78.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,557 | £156 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 61 | £4,551 |
| Match 5 | 20 | £27,759 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | £151,413 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £83,087,696 |