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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£130,128,672
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 360 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 359 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 359 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 40, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 June 2014 — its closest relative in 359 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 151 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈51M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,654,977 winners, 19% more than the 2.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,654,977 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,216,920 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 324,314 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 | 176,565 | £9.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59,285 | £17.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 83,057 | £12.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,011 | £57.30 |
| Match 4 | 3,796 | £84.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,752 | £184 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 90 | £4,087 |
| Match 5 | 17 | £43,276 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £551,773 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £130,128,672 |