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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£143,641,616
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 361 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 360 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 360 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 27, 33) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 January 2014 — its closest relative in 360 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 October 2014): 40 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈49M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,518,160 winners, 18% more than the 2.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,518,160 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,180,081 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 311,905 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 | 170,385 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59,049 | £15.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 79,529 | £11.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,966 | £50.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,598 | £78.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,666 | £169 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 92 | £3,500 |
| Match 5 | 20 | £32,201 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £241,509 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £143,641,616 |