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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£10,572,000
The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 437 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 436 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 436 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 18) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 July 2015 — its closest relative in 436 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,099 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 823,937 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 395,479 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 113,904 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 54,317 | £10.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,440 | £15.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,247 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,443 | £51.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,099 | £94.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 567 | £183 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £2,574 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £59,196 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £10,572,000 |