Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£16,844,082
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 438 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 437 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 437 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 21, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 June 2014 — its closest relative in 437 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,507 winners, 35% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,112,061 | £3.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 614,982 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 212,281 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 | 70,521 | £11.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,171 | £14.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,794 | £13.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,192 | £52.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,507 | £106 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 870 | £184 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40 | £4,565 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £121,729 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £16,844,082 |