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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£17,564,688
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 442 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 441 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 441 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (34, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 February 2015 — its closest relative in 441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 161 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,653 winners, 24% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,229,417 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 633,773 | £6.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 201,015 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 79,748 | £11.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,017 | £15.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 41,102 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,347 | £51.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,653 | £102 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 908 | £187 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 63 | £3,073 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £38,718 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £290,385 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £17,564,688 |