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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£18,085,196
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 462 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 461 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 461 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (40, 42, 47) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 January 2013 — its closest relative in 461 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 173 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 629 winners, 17% fewer than the 758 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,024,163 | £3.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 483,049 | £8.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 139,376 | £10.20 |
| Match 3 | 63,257 | £12.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,316 | £20.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,395 | £15.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,633 | £67.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,352 | £114 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 629 | £246 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30 | £5,884 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £58,839 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £1,059,101 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £18,085,196 |