Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,035,308
The crowdHeld 39% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 463 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 462 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 79 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 462 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 29, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 December 2011 — its closest relative in 462 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2015): 47 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,620 winners, 51% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 938,809 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 438,890 | £6.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 98,485 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 | 67,695 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,836 | £18.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 31,597 | £10.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,334 | £57.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,620 | £65.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 767 | £139 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | £3,483 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £27,088 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £731,368 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £11,517,654 |