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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£16,895,104
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 517 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 516 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 516 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 27, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 July 2015 — its closest relative in 516 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 April 2016): 14 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 921,075 winners, 23% fewer than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 921,075 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 517,349 | £4.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 174,853 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 66,465 | £7.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,022 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,602 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,789 | £25.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,486 | £66.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 796 | £125 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59 | £1,924 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £16,895,104 |