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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,868,936
The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 518 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 517 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 517 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 32, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 June 2015 — its closest relative in 517 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 April 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈23M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,114 winners, 32% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,230,855 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 549,160 | £6.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 147,238 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 | 87,857 | £8.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,657 | £17.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 38,836 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,005 | £52.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,114 | £69.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 899 | £164 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £3,665 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £67,440 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £252,901 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £23,868,936 |