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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£111,709,000
The crowdHeld 33% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,044 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,043 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 15, 38, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,043 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10, 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈30M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,815,929 winners, 33% more than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,815,929 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 659,073 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 159,834 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 118,586 | £6.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29,649 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,645 | £9.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,087 | £52.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,433 | £31.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 920 | £112 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | £1,165 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £22,447 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £256,117 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £111,709,000 |