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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,587,700
The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,045 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 29 Sept 2026, 20:35 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,044 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 31) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 August 2020 — its closest relative in 1,044 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 September 2026): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,602 winners, 62% more than the 986 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 833,478 | £2.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 341,511 | £3.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 72,547 | £5.30 |
| Match 3 | 64,064 | £5.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 14,182 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 25,240 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,020 | £43.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,602 | £19.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 613 | £68.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £630 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £9,098 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £44,487 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,587,700 |