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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£41,972,008
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,050 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 16 Oct 2026, 21:27 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,049 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 22, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 October 2026 — its closest relative in 1,049 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,949 winners, 10% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,084,418 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 486,902 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 132,769 | £4.20 |
| Match 3 | 79,495 | £5.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,470 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,052 | £7.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,949 | £32.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,855 | £24.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 831 | £72.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 49 | £669 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £111,117 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £41,972,008 |