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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£49,630,236
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,051 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 21 Oct 2026, 00:01 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,050 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 16, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,050 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 October 2026): 15, 16 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 932 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 732,141 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 332,728 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85,164 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 46,453 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 15,378 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,231 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 986 | £51.20 |
| Match 4 | 932 | £38.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 460 | £104 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £1,179 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £356,355 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £49,630,236 |