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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto Plus 1 under the 6/47 + 1/47 · since Sep 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–47.
Drawn 21 times in 216 draws against 27.6 expected, −1.34σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
Drawn 21 times in 216 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 46 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 6 | 5th | 22531343840 |
| 2026-08-12 | 3 | 3rd | 53438424446 |
| 2026-08-01 | 11 | 4th | 81724384445 |
| 2026-06-24 | 13 | 5th | 239163839 |
| 2026-05-09 | 13 | 6th | 81216242738 |
| 2026-03-25 | 8 | 6th | 141516303738 |
| 2026-02-25 | 8 | 6th | 71621222338 |
| 2026-01-28 | 4 | 5th | 11115333844 |
| 2026-01-14 | 14 | 5th | 111222373841 |
| 2025-11-26 | 19 | 6th | 71013202138 |
| 2025-09-17 | 6 | 5th | 171923263846 |
| 2025-08-27 | 7 | 5th | 1713183840 |
| 2025-08-02 | 21 | 5th | 202331343844 |
| 2025-05-21 | 5 | 4th | 7934383946 |
| 2025-05-03 | 11 | 5th | 11635363839 |
| 2025-03-26 | 10 | 5th | 4913373846 |
| 2025-02-19 | 18 | 6th | 81122263738 |
| 2024-12-18 | 5 | 6th | 1419263238 |
| 2024-11-30 | 5 | 5th | 142131333842 |
| 2024-11-13 | 4 | 5th | 101115373845 |
| 2024-10-30 | — | 6th | 162123262938 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/47 tonight whatever it did last week.