Number 14

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 747 draws, 5 from 1–40.

89times drawn · chance expected 93 −0.48σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 39% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

41longest completed wait · 34% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 747 draws against 93.4 expected, −0.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 747 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest10 · chance 16.2
2nd smallest36 · chance 36.6
3rd smallest36 · chance 27.4
4th smallest7 · chance 8.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 23 28 3 4 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-16	10	2nd	2 14 19 26 30
2026-10-06	4	3rd	1 9 14 16 29
2026-10-02	7	2nd	2 14 19 34 38
2026-09-25	24	2nd	10 14 16 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-03-27	16	3rd	2 11 14 15 16
2026-03-11	8	2nd	9 14 18 22 28
2026-03-03	1	3rd	6 11 14 23 39
2026-03-02	11	1st	14 19 31 35 40
2026-02-19	3	3rd	3 4 14 16 22
2026-02-16	6	3rd	1 13 14 17 38
2026-02-10	7	2nd	13 14 22 30 37
2026-02-03	2	2nd	10 14 29 35 36
2026-02-01	17	4th	3 8 13 14 17
2026-01-15	3	2nd	11 14 16 27 39
2026-01-12	17	3rd	1 10 14 19 33
2025-12-26	11	1st	14 17 18 20 28
2025-12-14	1	1st	14 17 19 20 32
2025-12-13	8	4th	2 7 11 14 28
2025-12-05	5	1st	14 19 20 33 36
2025-11-30	2	3rd	9 13 14 30 37
2025-11-28	8	3rd	1 12 14 20 29
2025-11-20	7	2nd	4 14 28 32 37
2025-11-04	8	4th	4 6 10 14 23
2025-10-27	4	2nd	4 14 23 28 34
2025-10-23	1	3rd	2 5 14 20 23
2025-10-22	12	2nd	13 14 28 34 36
2025-10-08	2	3rd	9 12 14 38 39
2025-10-06	15	1st	14 19 23 24 25
2025-09-21	7	2nd	7 14 19 25 34
2025-09-14	10	3rd	3 10 14 32 39
2025-09-04	25	2nd	8 14 23 31 37
2025-08-10	14	2nd	3 14 15 20 23
2025-07-27	3	2nd	10 14 25 27 30
2025-07-24	41	3rd	10 12 14 26 40
2025-06-13	7	1st	14 22 23 32 40
2025-06-06	4	2nd	5 14 15 33 36
2025-06-02	6	2nd	13 14 15 36 38
2025-05-27	3	3rd	5 11 14 16 17
2025-05-24	1	4th	2 3 13 14 32
2025-05-23	2	2nd	11 14 26 32 40
2025-05-21	7	2nd	10 14 26 37 39
2025-05-14	4	3rd	1 8 14 20 36
2025-05-10	1	1st	14 32 33 34 37
2025-05-09	22	2nd	3 14 21 31 34
2025-04-17	5	3rd	3 11 14 18 35
2025-04-12	4	1st	14 23 34 37 38
2025-04-08	2	1st	14 15 24 34 38
2025-04-06	15	3rd	6 13 14 26 40
2025-03-22	34	4th	4 5 8 14 15
2025-02-16	22	3rd	4 6 14 31 33
2025-01-25	16	3rd	9 10 14 23 24
2025-01-09	22	4th	1 4 8 14 19
2024-12-18	10	2nd	8 14 22 30 37
2024-12-08	7	2nd	11 14 29 33 38
2024-12-01	4	2nd	7 14 16 18 23
2024-11-27	2	2nd	13 14 18 19 28
2024-11-25	8	3rd	6 8 14 29 39
2024-11-17	1	2nd	13 14 21 24 32
2024-11-16	23	3rd	4 13 14 16 27
2024-10-24	6	2nd	4 14 22 23 28
2024-10-18	1	3rd	2 3 14 24 31
2024-10-17	5	4th	6 11 12 14 17
2024-10-12	4	2nd	5 14 17 30 33
2024-10-08	1	2nd	3 14 29 32 40
2024-10-07	5	2nd	3 14 22 26 34
2024-10-02	3	3rd	9 13 14 17 29
2024-09-29	2	3rd	4 5 14 21 35
2024-09-27	2	3rd	9 13 14 34 36
2024-09-25	—	2nd	5 14 29 32 35