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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 July 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 31
  5. 38
  6. 39
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 596 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-06-29All recent draws2019-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 22 31 38 39 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

198times
15104times
2289times
3187times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 166k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 649%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$334.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$329.6K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$371K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3983times

Every number was expected about that many times after 595 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 22, 31, 39) with the draw of 2 January 2019 — its closest relative in 595 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 7.8 by chanceNZ$18,578
  • Match 5213≈ 256 by chanceNZ$779
  • Match 4 + Bonus642≈ 641 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 49,835≈ 10k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,735≈ 14k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3141,316≈ 141k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 9,835 winners, 4% fewer than the 10k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$18,578
    Match 5213NZ$779
    Match 4 + Bonus642NZ$59.00
    Match 49,835NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,735NZ$24.00
    Match 3141,316NZ$0.00
    Totals0—