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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 July 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 17
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 597 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-07-03All recent draws2019-07-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 17 31 33 37 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

293times
575times
1794times
3188times
33

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-06

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 275k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$529.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$517K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$594K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
3793times

Every number was expected about that many times after 596 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 5, 33, 37) with the draw of 4 October 2017 — its closest relative in 596 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2019): 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 13 by chanceNZ$44,656
  • Match 5425≈ 425 by chanceNZ$625
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,025≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 416,546≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,478≈ 23k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3234,258≈ 234k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,025 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$44,656
    Match 5425NZ$625
    Match 4 + Bonus1,025NZ$59.00
    Match 416,546NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,478NZ$23.00
    Match 3234,258NZ$0.00
    Totals0—