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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 14 April 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 16
  5. 21
  6. 23
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 782 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-04-10All recent draws2021-04-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 9 12 16 21 23 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 117 of each

1132times
9113times
12116times
16117times
21

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 267k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$441.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$432.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$504.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
23125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 781 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 9, 16, 23) with the draw of 18 July 2020 — its closest relative in 781 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 April 2021): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 12 by chanceNZ$12,619
  • Match 5415≈ 406 by chanceNZ$543
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,204≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$43.00
  • Match 416,989≈ 16k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,037≈ 22k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3223,979≈ 224k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,204 winners, 18% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$12,619
    Match 5415NZ$543
    Match 4 + Bonus1,204NZ$43.00
    Match 416,989NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,037NZ$18.00
    Match 3223,979NZ$0.00
    Totals266,646—