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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 April 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 783 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-04-14All recent draws2021-04-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 22 24 35 40 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 117 of each

1133times
8109times
22128times
24122times
35

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-17

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 342k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$616.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$619.2K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$698.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
40119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 782 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 24, 40) with the draw of 10 February 2021 — its closest relative in 782 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 April 2021): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 16 by chanceNZ$19,668
  • Match 5507≈ 528 by chanceNZ$616
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,296≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 421,259≈ 21k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,145≈ 28k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3290,978≈ 291k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 507 winners, 4% fewer than the 528 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$19,668
    Match 5507NZ$616
    Match 4 + Bonus1,296NZ$55.00
    Match 421,259NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,145NZ$22.00
    Match 3290,978NZ$0.00
    Totals342,205—