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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 792 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-05-15All recent draws2021-05-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 16 22 30 34 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each

1135times
11116times
16118times
22129times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-19

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.1Mto 190k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$178.9K
  • Match 433%NZ$357.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$342.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$218.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

112times
34108times

Every number was expected about that many times after 791 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 16, 22, 30) with the draw of 4 December 2019 — its closest relative in 791 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 8.8 by chanceNZ$17,892
  • Match 5282≈ 292 by chanceNZ$629
  • Match 4 + Bonus719≈ 730 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 411,532≈ 12k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,309≈ 16k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3160,924≈ 161k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 16,309 winners, 5% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$17,892
    Match 5282NZ$629
    Match 4 + Bonus719NZ$57.00
    Match 411,532NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,309NZ$21.00
    Match 3160,924NZ$0.00
    Totals189,776—