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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 February 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 18
  3. 22
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 977 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-02-22All recent draws2023-03-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 18 22 28 30 32 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd1th
  • low21th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each

14133times
18148times
22157times
28145times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 243k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$463.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$452.9K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$513.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

139times
32149times

Every number was expected about that many times after 976 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 18, 22, 28) with the draw of 30 May 2018 — its closest relative in 976 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2023): 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 11 by chanceNZ$21,038
  • Match 5409≈ 375 by chanceNZ$561
  • Match 4 + Bonus947≈ 936 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 415,443≈ 15k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,693≈ 20k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3206,431≈ 206k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,443 winners, 3% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$21,038
    Match 5409NZ$561
    Match 4 + Bonus947NZ$56.00
    Match 415,443NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,693NZ$23.00
    Match 3206,431NZ$0.00
    Totals242,936—