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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 March 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 26
  5. 34
  6. 35
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 978 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-02-25All recent draws2023-03-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 17 26 34 35 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 147 of each

14134times
15165times
17157times
26151times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.2Mto 186k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$191.1K
  • Match 432%NZ$383.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$375.9K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$232.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

132times
35154times

Every number was expected about that many times after 977 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 26, 34, 35) with the draw of 8 May 2021 — its closest relative in 977 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2023): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 8.8 by chanceNZ$23,882
  • Match 5260≈ 289 by chanceNZ$729
  • Match 4 + Bonus665≈ 724 by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 411,281≈ 12k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,456≈ 15k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3159,528≈ 160k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 665 winners, 8% fewer than the 724 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$23,882
    Match 5260NZ$729
    Match 4 + Bonus665NZ$65.00
    Match 411,281NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,456NZ$26.00
    Match 3159,528NZ$0.00
    Totals186,198—