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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,018 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-15All recent draws2023-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 20 23 28 35 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

6149times
20151times
23171times
28152times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 262k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$516.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$516.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$584.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

160times
38141times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,017 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 23, 28, 35) with the draw of 10 April 2021 — its closest relative in 1,017 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$18,826
  • Match 5383≈ 406 by chanceNZ$683
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,008≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 415,645≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,516≈ 22k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3223,682≈ 224k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,645 winners, 4% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,826
    Match 5383NZ$683
    Match 4 + Bonus1,008NZ$59.00
    Match 415,645NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,516NZ$24.00
    Match 3223,682NZ$0.00
    Totals262,250—