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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 20
  5. 30
  6. 38
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,101 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-05-01All recent draws2024-05-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 15 20 30 38 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

11154times
13167times
15184times
20165times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 343k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$640.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$623.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$728K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
38153times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,100 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 20, 30) with the draw of 4 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,100 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2024): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 16 by chanceNZ$23,443
  • Match 5483≈ 525 by chanceNZ$674
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,303≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 420,658≈ 21k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,173≈ 28k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3289,335≈ 289k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 31,173 winners, 11% more than the 28k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$23,443
    Match 5483NZ$674
    Match 4 + Bonus1,303NZ$57.00
    Match 420,658NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,173NZ$20.00
    Match 3289,335NZ$0.00
    Totals342,967—