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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 May 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 17
  5. 28
  6. 29
  7. 19

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,102 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-05-04All recent draws2024-05-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 13 17 28 29 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

6163times
12173times
13168times
17182times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-08

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 319k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$559.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$533.9K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$623.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
29172times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,101 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 12, 17, 28) with the draw of 31 August 2013 — its closest relative in 1,101 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 15 by chanceNZ$25,534
  • Match 5516≈ 487 by chanceNZ$540
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,390≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 419,986≈ 19k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,101≈ 26k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3268,624≈ 269k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,390 winners, 14% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$25,534
    Match 5516NZ$540
    Match 4 + Bonus1,390NZ$46.00
    Match 419,986NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,101NZ$19.00
    Match 3268,624NZ$0.00
    Totals318,629—