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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 May 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 28
  6. 37
  7. 29

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,104 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-05-11All recent draws2024-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 11 13 21 28 37 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

6164times
11156times
13169times
21165times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 361k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$666.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$652.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$742.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

167times
37155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,103 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 11, 13, 28) with the draw of 18 October 2023 — its closest relative in 1,103 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2024): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 17 by chanceNZ$15,914
  • Match 5517≈ 557 by chanceNZ$641
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,448≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 422,225≈ 22k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,659≈ 30k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3306,843≈ 307k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 517 winners, 7% fewer than the 557 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$15,914
    Match 5517NZ$641
    Match 4 + Bonus1,448NZ$53.00
    Match 422,225NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,659NZ$22.00
    Match 3306,843NZ$0.00
    Totals360,715—