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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 13 July 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 31
  6. 38
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,121 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-07-10All recent draws2024-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 15 19 31 38 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

11157times
13173times
15187times
19194times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-13

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 355k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$643.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$628.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$730.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

169times
38157times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,120 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 19, 31, 38) with the draw of 11 May 2024 — its closest relative in 1,120 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 16 by chanceNZ$21,952
  • Match 5514≈ 540 by chanceNZ$635
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,318≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 422,181≈ 22k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,080≈ 29k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3297,490≈ 297k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 33,080 winners, 15% more than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$21,952
    Match 5514NZ$635
    Match 4 + Bonus1,318NZ$57.00
    Match 422,181NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,080NZ$19.00
    Match 3297,490NZ$0.00
    Totals354,599—