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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 July 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 13
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 34
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,122 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-07-13All recent draws2024-07-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 13 31 33 34 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

6165times
7162times
13174times
31170times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 302k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$582.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$565.1K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$645.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

165times
34161times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,121 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 13, 31, 33) with the draw of 20 August 2022 — its closest relative in 1,121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 July 2024): 13, 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7, 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$19,374
  • Match 5450≈ 468 by chanceNZ$641
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,130≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 417,653≈ 19k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,571≈ 25k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3258,114≈ 258k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,653 winners, 6% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$19,374
    Match 5450NZ$641
    Match 4 + Bonus1,130NZ$59.00
    Match 417,653NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,571NZ$23.00
    Match 3258,114NZ$0.00
    Totals301,934—