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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 July 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 25
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,123 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-07-17All recent draws2024-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 10 25 30 40 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

2169times
4164times
10178times
25176times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-20

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 424k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 3.3

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$739.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$752.2K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$841.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 3.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

160times
40171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 25, 30, 40) with the draw of 2 December 2020 — its closest relative in 1,122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 20 by chanceNZ$22,317
  • Match 5781≈ 650 by chanceNZ$482
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,712≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 427,404≈ 26k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus35,819≈ 35k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3358,445≈ 358k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 781 winners, 20% more than the 650 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$22,317
    Match 5781NZ$482
    Match 4 + Bonus1,712NZ$50.00
    Match 427,404NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus35,819NZ$21.00
    Match 3358,445NZ$0.00
    Totals424,182—