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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 14 August 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 32
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,130 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-08-10All recent draws2024-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 24 25 29 32 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each

5164times
12178times
24181times
25179times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 240k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$436.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$424.6K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$496.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
32168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,129 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 24, 25) with the draw of 4 November 2023 — its closest relative in 1,129 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2024): 24, 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus2≈ 11 by chanceNZ$111,870
  • Match 5333≈ 371 by chanceNZ$666
  • Match 4 + Bonus964≈ 927 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 414,554≈ 15k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,219≈ 20k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3204,370≈ 204k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 964 winners, 4% more than the 927 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus2NZ$111,870
    Match 5333NZ$666
    Match 4 + Bonus964NZ$53.00
    Match 414,554NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,219NZ$21.00
    Match 3204,370NZ$0.00
    Totals240,445—