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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 August 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 22
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 37
  7. 32

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,131 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-08-14All recent draws2024-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 22 33 34 36 37 + 3229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

7163times
22178times
33167times
34163times
36

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 270k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$535.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$528.1K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$596.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

160times
37159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,130 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 34, 36, 37) with the draw of 12 July 2023 — its closest relative in 1,130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34, 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$19,224
  • Match 5385≈ 415 by chanceNZ$693
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,266≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 416,743≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,961≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3228,472≈ 228k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,266 winners, 22% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$19,224
    Match 5385NZ$693
    Match 4 + Bonus1,266NZ$48.00
    Match 416,743NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,961NZ$23.00
    Match 3228,472NZ$0.00
    Totals269,842—