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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,150 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-10-19All recent draws2024-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 17 21 28 30 32 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each

12184times
17191times
21171times
28176times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.4Mto 420k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.3

Where the money went

  • Match 629%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$781K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$743.3K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$865.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

167times
32171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,149 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 17, 30, 32) with the draw of 19 October 2022 — its closest relative in 1,149 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2024): 21, 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 20 by chanceNZ$32,522
  • Match 5614≈ 653 by chanceNZ$630
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,504≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 426,032≈ 26k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus32,319≈ 35k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3359,984≈ 360k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,504 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$32,522
    Match 5614NZ$630
    Match 4 + Bonus1,504NZ$59.00
    Match 426,032NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus32,319NZ$23.00
    Match 3359,984NZ$0.00
    Totals420,470—